# Quartered and Drawn: The SANS 2025 Reality Check

- Link: https://www.agilicus.com/quartered-and-drawn-the-sans-2025-reality-check/
- Published: 2025-12-10T01:20:59+00:00
- Author: Don Bowman

## Why 1 in 4 Operational Technology Environments Got Pwned Last Year (And Why You Are Next)

I read the white papers so you don’t have to. It’s a dirty job, but someone has 
to wade through the acronym soup to find the bones. And folks, the bones in the 
newly released [SANS State of ICS/OT Security 2025](https://www.sans.org/white-papers/state-of-ics-ot-security-2025)
are looking pretty brittle. The headline that made me spill my tea? **22% of respondents
suffered a cybersecurity attack in the last 12 months.** That is 1 in 4. If it wasn’t
you, it was the guy next to you. And for 40% of those, operations actually stopped.
We aren’t talking about a defaced website; we are talking about pumps stopping, 
turbines tripping, and production lines grinding to a halt because that ‘secure’
fortress you built is actually made of plywood.

![These incidents have real-world impacts, with 40% of incidents causing a disruption
in ICS/OT operations, 13% resulting in financial losses or data compromise, 8% posing
a risk to physical safety or reliability, and 6% involving the theft of intellectual
property. Interestingly, regulated sites had roughly the same amount of ICS/OT incidents
but both financial losses and risks to physical safety impacts were ~50% less than
their unregulated peers.](https://www.agilicus.com/www/89bec74f-sans-2025-split-
1024x574.avif)

### The One-in-Four Nightmare

Let’s rip the band-aid off, shall we? SANS just released their State of ICS/OT Security
2025 report, and if you were hoping for a pat on the back, you’re in the wrong multiverse.
The headline isn’t just bad; it is a statistical indictment of how we build networks.**
22% of respondents suffered a cybersecurity attack in the last 12 months.**

Read that again. One in four. If you look around a conference table of three peers,
one of you is currently putting out a fire. And I don’t mean a theoretical “we blocked
a ping” fire. For **40% of these victims**, the attack caused actual operational
disruption. That means pumps stopped pumping, assembly lines halted, or lights flickered.

When you dig into how these environments got pwned, the data paints a picture of
a porous, crumbling perimeter:

 * **50%** involved unauthorized access by external actors.
 * **41%** were attributed to insider misuse.
 * **30%** were a supply chain compromise.

These numbers prove that the “Air Gap” is a myth we tell ourselves to sleep better
at night. It is a fairy tale, right up there with “the cheque is in the mail” and“
I’ll just change one line of code.” If half of the attacks are coming from the outside,
your gap isn’t just bridged; it’s a superhighway. We have connected everything to
everything in the name of efficiency, but we are still defending it with architecture
from the 1990s when ‘information superhighway’ was futuristic rather than forgotten.

And let’s be blunt about that “insider misuse” statistic. While it sounds like you
have a cloak-and-dagger spy in the server room, it is usually far more banal. It’s
often a nice way of saying “poor network segmentation.” It is an engineer bridging
a connection because the walk to the control room is too long, or a technician plugging
in a compromised USB drive because the firewall rules were too annoying to navigate.
When you rely on a perimeter defence, once someone is inside — whether it’s a well-
meaning employee or a vendor with a compromised laptop — they have the keys to the
kingdom. We are building digital Maginot Lines, and the bad actors are just walking
around them. The blast radius of a single compromised credential is currently the
entire plant floor, and that is a failure of architecture, not just personnel.

### The Tootsie Pop Defence is Broken

Let’s talk about candy. Specifically, the Tootsie Pop. You know the one: a hard,
crunchy shell on the outside, and a soft, chewy “chocolate” centre on the inside.
For decades, this has been the architectural diagram for almost every industrial
network I’ve seen. You spend a fortune on a perimeter firewall — the crunchy shell—
and assume everything inside is safe.

Here is the cold reality: **The Tootsie Pop defence is broken.**

The problem with the “crunchy on the outside, soft and chewy on the inside” model
is that once a bad actor punches through that outer shell, they don’t just get a
foot in the door; they get the run of the entire building. Inside that perimeter,
your network is flat, unsegmented, and trusting. It is a playground for lateral 
movement.

According to the SANS report, remote access remains a top risk, yet only 13% of 
organisations have fully implemented proper, ICS-aware controls. The other 87%? 
They are likely using a Virtual Private Network (VPN) and crossing their fingers.
We saw the consequences of this with the [Cyber Army of Russia targeting US water facilities](https://www.agilicus.com/inbound-hmi-cyber-army-of-russia-targeting-us-water-facilities/).
They didn’t need a zero-day exploit to manipulate the chemical levels in a water
treatment plant; they just walked through open ports and accessed VNC (Virtual Network
Computing) sessions that were left exposed. They were clicking buttons on Human-
Machine Interfaces while the operators were none the wiser.

This happens because we treat network access as a binary state: you are either outside(
blocked) or inside (trusted). This is most obvious when you deal with third-party
vendors. You have a technician who needs to update the firmware on a single pump
or troubleshoot a specific PLC. So, what do you do? You give them a VPN credential.

**This is madness.**

Granting full network access via a VPN to fix a single piece of equipment is the
equivalent of giving a plumber the combination to your wall safe just because your
kitchen sink is leaking. Once that vendor connects via VPN, their laptop — and whatever
malware is currently incubating on it — has a direct line to your critical infrastructure.

The VPN is a blunt instrument in a world that requires surgical precision. It connects
networks to networks, assuming that valid credentials equal a valid person with 
good intentions. It is a museum piece. It belongs in a glass display case right 
next to the floppy disk and the fax machine. If you are still relying on that crunchy
firewall shell to save you, you are just waiting for the inevitable crack to appear.

### Stop Building Fortresses, Start Checking IDs

If the Tootsie Pop defence is dead — and believe me, the ants are already eating
the chewy centre — then we need a totally new architectural model. We need to stop
pretending that being “inside” the network makes you a good guy. This is where the
SANS report gets real: recovery lags. If you get hit, you aren’t down for an hour;
you are likely down for weeks or months. While the report notes that regulation 
drives maturity, let’s be honest: keeping the lights on and the shareholders off
your back is the real driver. You need to survive, and a compliance checklist won’t
stop a determined ransomware gang.

We need to shift from network-centric to identity-centric security. As we outline
in [Zero Trust for Manufacturing Operational Technology](https://www.agilicus.com/manufacturing/),
the air gap is a fairy tale we tell junior engineers. We want data, we want remote
maintenance, and we want it now. That means connectivity is inevitable. The Agilicus
AnyX approach isn’t about blocking that connectivity; it’s about mediating it through
identity, not topology. You don’t let a stranger into your house just because they
are standing on your porch; so why do you let a laptop access a PLC just because
it has a local IP address?

Here is the roadmap to stop building castles and start checking IDs:

 * **Identity First, Network Second**: Stop trusting IPs. An IP address is a coordinate,
   not a badge of honour. In a Zero Trust model, we treat the local network as if
   it were the public internet — hostile. We authenticate the _user_ cryptographically
   before a single packet reaches the asset.
 * Precise Authorisation: Connect users to resources, not networks. This is the 
   core of Agilicus AnyX. If a third-party integrator needs to update a specific
   HMI, they get access to _that_ HMI and nothing else. They don’t get a network
   drop that lets them scan for vulnerable printers or unpatched servers.
 * Kill the VPN: Replace with Identity-Aware Proxies. VPNs are dumb pipes that extend
   your attack surface to the coffee shop wifi. An Identity-Aware Proxy acts as 
   a chaperone or bouncer, inspecting every request. It creates an outbound-only
   connection, meaning you have no open inbound ports for Shodan to sniff.
 * **Multi-factor authentication is non-negotiable**: It doesn’t matter if your 
   legacy SCADA system creates passwords that are hard-coded to “admin123”. By placing
   an identity layer in front of it, you can enforce modern multi-factor authentication
   on devices that were built when cordless phones meant something very different.
 * I often hear the pushback that “security hinders operations,” and that operators
   need instant access without hurdles. That is a false economy, and simply untrue.
   With Agilicus AnyX and PassKey, its easier to be secure than to not. No passwords
   to remember. If “ease of access” allows a ransomware gang to brick your control
   systems, that convenience just cost you the company.
 * 
   ## Conclusions
   
 * The SANS report makes it clear: the bad actors are getting in, and when they 
   do, the remediation takes weeks. You can keep patching your plywood fortress 
   and hoping the ‘Air Gap’ fairy protects you from the next ransomware campaign.
   Or, you can adopt a **defence-in-depth** strategy that assumes the perimeter 
   is already pwned. Secure the identity. Segment the access. Use precise authorisation.
   It’s not magic, it’s just good engineering. Don’t be the 1 in 4 next year. Check
   your remote access strategy before someone else checks it for you.
